{"id":5074,"date":"2019-11-16T12:19:00","date_gmt":"2019-11-16T04:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/?p=5074"},"modified":"2020-10-06T16:45:53","modified_gmt":"2020-10-06T08:45:53","slug":"%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e6%9c%9f%e5%88%8a-american-economic-review%ef%bc%88aer%ef%bc%89%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%bb%8f%e5%85%b8%ef%bc%9a20%e7%af%87%e6%9c%80%e9%a1%b6%e5%b0%96%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/mode-of-thinking\/principles-of-economics\/%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e6%9c%9f%e5%88%8a-american-economic-review%ef%bc%88aer%ef%bc%89%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%bb%8f%e5%85%b8%ef%bc%9a20%e7%af%87%e6%9c%80%e9%a1%b6%e5%b0%96%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87.html","title":{"rendered":"\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u671f\u520a American Economic Review\uff08AER\uff09\u767e\u5e74\u7ecf\u5178\uff1a20\u7bc7\u6700\u9876\u5c16\u8bba\u6587"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u8bba American Economic Review\uff08AER\uff09\u4e8e\u521b\u520a100\u5468\u5e74\u4e4b\u9645\uff082011\u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u9080\u8bf7\u80af\u5c3c\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u963f\u7f57\uff08Kenneth J. Arrow\uff09, B\u00b7\u9053\u683c\u62c9\u65af\u00b7\u4f2f\u6069\u9ed1\u59c6\uff08B. Douglas Bernheim\uff09, \u9a6c\u4e01\u00b7\u8d39\u5c14\u5fb7\u65af\u5766\uff08Martin S. Feldstein\uff09, \u4e39\u5c3c\u5c14\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u6cd5\u767b\uff08Daniel L. McFadden\uff09, \u8a79\u59c6\u58eb M.\u6ce2\u7279\u5df4\uff08James M. Poterba\uff09,\u548c\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u7d22\u7f57\uff08Robert M. Solow\uff09\u516d\u4f4d\u8d44\u6df1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7ec4\u6210\u201c\u6700\u4f7320\u8bc4\u5ba1\u4f1a\u201d\uff0c\u62e3\u9009\u51faAER\u521b\u520a100\u5468\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u768420\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">\u521b\u520a\u767e\u4f59\u5e74\u7684\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\u5bf9\u73b0\u4ee3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d77\u5230\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u5f15\u9886\u548c\u52a9\u63a8\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-1024x502.jpeg\" alt=\"American Economic Review\" class=\"wp-image-5093\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-1024x502.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-700x343.jpeg 700w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-200x98.jpeg 200w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-324x160.jpeg 324w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-533x261.jpeg 533w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-696x341.jpeg 696w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-1068x524.jpeg 1068w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163-857x420.jpeg 857w, https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/13163.jpeg 1222w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>American Economic Review<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\"><strong>\u8bfb\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u8fd920\u7bc7\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u5f0f\u7684\u91cd\u91cf\u7ea7\u7ecf\u5178\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u4e00\u7aa5\u767e\u5e74\u95f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0d\u65ad\u8dcb\u6d89\u3001\u8270\u96be\u63a2\u7d22\u3001\u521b\u9020\u667a\u8bc6\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u8f68\u8ff9<\/strong>\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u9886\u7565\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e0e\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u6709\u673a\u7ed3\u5408\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u89e3\u91ca\u529b\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u529b\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6309\u6587\u732e\u4f5c\u8005\u82f1\u6587\u59d3\u540d\u7684\u9996\u5b57\u6bcd\u987a\u5e8f\u5217\u51fa\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>1) \u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u8d39\u7528\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ec4\u7ec7<\/strong>\u2014\u20141972.12<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Production, Information Costs, and Economic Organization<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u963f\u5c14\u66fc\u00b7\u827e\u5c14\u94a6 \u54c8\u7f57\u5fb7\u00b7\u5fb7\u59c6\u585e\u8328 \/ Alchian, Armen A., and Harold Demsetz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Alchian_Demsetz-1972-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2) \u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e0e\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u7684\u798f\u5229\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66<\/strong>\u2014\u20141963.12<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u80af\u5c3c\u65af\u00b7\u963f\u7f57 \/ Arrow, Kenneth J<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Arrow632.3.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3<strong>\uff09\u751f\u4ea7\u7406\u8bba<\/strong>\u2014\u20141928.03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\"><strong>A Theory of Production<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">\u67e5\u5c14\u65af\u00b7\u67ef\u5e03 \u4fdd\u7f57\u00b7\u9053\u683c\u62c9\u65af\/ Cobb, Charles W., and Paul H. Douglas<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Theory-of-production.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4<strong>\uff09\u8fd1\u4e4e\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7cfb\u7edf\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\u2014\u20141980.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>An Almost Ideal Demand System<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">\u5b89\u683c\u65af\u00b7\u8fea\u987f \u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u7f2a\u5c14\u9c8d\u5c14\/ Deaton, Angus S., and John Muellbauer<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/An-Almost-Ideal-Demand-System.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>5\uff09\u65b0\u53e4\u5178\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u503a\u52a1<\/strong>\u2014\u20141965.12<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>National Debt in a Neoclassical Growth Model<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u6234\u8499\u5fb7\/ Diamond, Peter A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/National-Debt-in-a-Neoclassical-Growth-Model.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>6\uff09\u6700\u4f18\u7a0e\u5236\u548c\u516c\u5171\u751f\u4ea7\uff1a\u751f\u4ea7\u6548\u7387<\/strong>\u2014\u20141971.03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Optimal Taxation and Public Production I: Production Efficiency<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u6234\u8499\u5fb7 \u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u83ab\u91cc\u65af\/ Diamond, Peter A., and James A. Mirrlees<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>>><a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Optimal-Taxation-and-Public-Production-I\u2014\u2014Production-Efficiency.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>7\uff09\u5784\u65ad\u7ade\u4e89\u4e0e\u6700\u4f18\u4ea7\u54c1\u591a\u6837\u6027<\/strong>\u2014\u20141977.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u963f\u7ef4\u7eb3\u4ec0\u00b7\u8fea\u514b\u897f\u7279 \u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u65af\u8482\u683c\u5229\u8328 \/ Dixit, Avinash K., and Joseph E. Stiglitz<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/\u5784\u65ad\u7ade\u4e89\u4e0e\u6700\u4f18\u4ea7\u54c1\u591a\u6837\u6027.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>8\uff09\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4f5c\u7528<\/strong>\u2014\u20141968.03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Role of Monetary Policy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7c73\u5c14\u987f\u00b7\u5f17\u91cc\u5fb7\u66fc\/ Friedman, Milton<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/The-Role-of-Monetary-Policy.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>9\uff09\u8bba\u4fe1\u606f\u6709\u6548\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6027<\/strong>\u2014\u20141980.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6851\u798f\u5fb7\u00b7\u683c\u7f57\u65af\u66fc \u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u65af\u8482\u683c\u5229\u8328\/ Grossman, Sanford J., and Joseph E. Stiglitz<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/On-the-Impossibility-of-Informationally-Efficient-Markets.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>10\uff09\u79fb\u6c11\u3001\u5931\u4e1a\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\uff1a\u4e24\u90e8\u95e8\u5206\u6790\u2014\u20141970<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Migration, Unemployment and Development: A Two-Sector Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u54c8\u91cc\u65af \u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u6258\u8fbe\u7f57\/ Harris, John R., and Michael P. Todaro<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Migration-Unemployment-and-Development.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>11\uff09\u77e5\u8bc6\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7684\u5229\u7528<\/strong>\u2014\u20141945.09<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Use of Knowledge in Society<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u54c8\u8036\u514b\/ F.A.Hayek<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/The-Use-of-Knowledge-in-Society.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>12\uff09\u8d44\u672c\u6210\u672c\u3001\u516c\u53f8\u91d1\u878d\u4e0e\u6295\u8d44\u7406\u8bba\u2014<\/strong>\u20141963.03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Capital Theory and Investment Behavior<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f17\u5170\u79d1\u00b7\u83ab\u8fea\u5229\u5b89\u5c3c \u83ab\u987f\u00b7H.\u7c73\u52d2\/  Jorgenson, Dale W<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Capital-Theory-and-Investment-Behavior.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>13\uff09\u5bfb\u79df\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66<\/strong>\u2014\u20141974.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b89\u59ae\u00b7\u5965\u65af\u672c\u00b7\u514b\u9c81\u683c\/ Krueger, Anne O<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/The-Political-Economy-of-the-Rent-Seeking-Society.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>14\uff09\u89c4\u6a21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u4ea7\u54c1\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u6a21\u5f0f<\/strong>\u2014\u20141980.12<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4fdd\u7f57\u00b7\u514b\u9c81\u683c\u66fc\/ Krugman, Paul<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Scale-Economies-Product-Differentiation-and-the-Pattern-of-Trade-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>15\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e0e\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49<\/strong>\u2014\u20141955.03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Economic Growth and Income Inequality<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u897f\u8499\u00b7\u5e93\u5179\u6d85\u8328\u2014\u2014Kuznets, Simon<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Economic-Growth-and-Income-Inequality.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>16\uff09\u4ea7\u51fa-\u901a\u80c0\u66ff\u4ee3\u7684\u82e5\u5e72\u56fd\u9645\u8bc1\u636e<\/strong>\u2014\u20141973.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u5362\u5361\u65af\u2014\u2014Lucas, Robert E<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Some-International-Evidence-on-Output-Inflation-Trade-offs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>17\uff09\u8d44\u672c\u6210\u672c\u3001\u516c\u53f8\u8d22\u52a1\u4ee5\u53ca\u6295\u8d44\u7406\u8bba<\/strong>\u2014\u20141958.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f17\u5170\u79d1\u00b7\u83ab\u8fea\u5229\u5b89\u5c3c \u83ab\u987f\u00b7H.\u7c73\u52d2\/Modigliani, Franco, and Merton H. Miller<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Capital-Theory-and-Investment-Behavior-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>18\uff09\u6700\u4f18\u8d27\u5e01\u533a\u7406\u8bba<\/strong>\u2014\u20141961.09<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u8499\u4ee3\u5c14\/ Mundell, Robert A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/A-Theory-of-Optimum-Currency-Areas.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>19\uff09\u4ee3\u7406\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba:\u59d4\u6258\u4eba\u95ee\u9898<\/strong>\u2014\u20141973.03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal\u2019s Problem<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65af\u8482\u82ac\u00b7A.\u7f57\u65af\/ Ross, Stephen A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Ross_1973_The-economic-theory-of-agency.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>20\uff09\u80a1\u4ef7\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u80fd\u6839\u636e\u5176\u540e\u7684\u80a1\u5229\u53d8\u5316\u8fdb\u884c\u89e3\u91ca\u5417\uff1f<\/strong>\u2014\u20141981.06<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\"><strong>Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to Be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:16px\">\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u5e0c\u52d2\/ Shiller, Robert J<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&gt;&gt;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Shiller811.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u539f\u6587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div 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