{"id":4116,"date":"2019-10-10T11:34:50","date_gmt":"2019-10-10T03:34:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/?p=4116"},"modified":"2020-03-30T18:08:42","modified_gmt":"2020-03-30T10:08:42","slug":"seeking-wisdom-from-darwin-to-munger-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madewill.com\/thinking-model\/seeking-wisdom-from-darwin-to-munger-2.html","title":{"rendered":"\u67e5\u7406\u00b7\u8292\u683c\uff1a\u613f\u4f60\u5728\u63a2\u7d22\u667a\u6167\u7684\u8def\u4e0a\u8d70\u5f97\u66f4\u8fdc"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4ece\u522b\u5904\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5927\u8111\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u83b7\u5f97\u5feb\u4e50\u548c\u6109\u60a6\u3001\u6b22\u58f0\u548c\u7b11\u8bed\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5fe7\u4f24\u548c\u70e6\u607c\u3001\u5931\u671b\u548c\u60b2\u75db\u3002\u540c\u6837\u4e5f\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5b83\u2026\u2026\u6211\u4eec\u83b7\u5f97\u667a\u6167\u548c\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u3001\u542c\uff0c\u5e76\u5206\u8fa8\u771f\u5047\u7f8e\u4e11\u2026\u2026\u8fd8\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5668\u5b98\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u7cbe\u795e\u9519\u4e71\u3001\u4e27\u5931\u7406\u667a\uff0c\u6050\u60e7\u548c\u5bb3\u6015\u4f1a\u88ad\u51fb\u6211\u4eec\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2014\u2014\u5e0c\u6ce2\u514b\u62c9\u5e95\uff08\u516c\u5143\u524d460\u2014\u524d377 \u5e74, \u53e4\u5e0c\u814a\u533b\u836f\u4e4b\u7236\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u300aSeeking Wisdom\uff1aFrom Darwin to Munger\u300b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u672c\u63a2\u7d22\u667a\u6167\u7684\u4e66\uff0c\u67e5\u7406\u8292\u683c\u82b1\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u95f4\u9605\u8bfb\u521d\u7a3f\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u4fee\u6539\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u8bc4\u4ef7\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u60f3\u6539\u5584\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u591a\u5143\u5316\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd9\u662f\u6700\u597d\u7684\u4e00\u672c\u4e66\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4eba\u4e0d\u80fd\u7a7a\u7740\u624b\u505a\u6728\u5de5\u6d3b\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u4e0d\u80fd\u7a7a\u7740\u8111\u888b\u601d\u8003\u3002\u5c31\u50cf\u6240\u6709\u7684\u5de5\u5320\u9700\u8981\u5de5\u5177\u505a\u6d3b\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u601d\u8003\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u975e\u5e38\u4e13\u4e1a\u3001\u5f97\u529b\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u548c\u8fd1\u5e74\u5927\u70ed\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u76f4\u89c9\u6cf5\u300b\u6709\u5f02\u66f2\u540c\u5de5\u4e4b\u5904\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u5927\u91cf\u65b9\u4fbf\u7684\u3001\u8f85\u52a9\u6027\u7684\u601d\u8003\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u53bb\u62d3\u5c55\u60f3\u8c61\u529b\u3001\u4fdd\u6301\u4e13\u6ce8\u529b\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u59a5\u5f53\u3001\u4f18\u96c5\u5730\u601d\u8003\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u96be\u9898\uff0c\u4e0d\u6b62\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4e5f\u5305\u542b\u5546\u4e1a\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6240\u8c13\u54f2\u5b66\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u7eaf\u7cb9\u9760\u601d\u8fa8\u6765\u7406\u89e3\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5b66\u95ee\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u8bfb\u8fc7\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u8003\u592b\u66fc\u7684\u300a\u7a77\u67e5\u7406\u5b9d\u5178\u300b\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u5fc5\u8bfb\u8fc7\u76ae\u7279\u00b7\u8d1d\u5f17\u6797\u7684\u300a\u63a2\u7d22\u667a\u6167\uff1a\u4ece\u8fbe\u5c14\u6587\u5230\u8292\u683c\u300b<\/a>\u3002\u67e5\u7406\u00b7\u8292\u683c\u5148\u751f\u66fe\u8bf4\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u7cbe\u529b\u5199\u4e00\u672c\u4e66\uff0c\u6559\u8bfb\u8005\u5982\u4f55\u4e0d\u8d39\u529b\u6c14\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u81f4\u5bcc\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f46\u8981\u5feb\u901f\u81f4\u5bcc\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u5feb\u901f\u6559\u4f1a\u3002\u6216\u8bb8\u8d1d\u5f17\u6797\u7684\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u5c31\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u6d1e\u89c1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u82f1\u6587\u539f\u7248\u662f\u300aSeeking Wisdom\uff1aFrom Darwin to Munger\u300b\u3002\u6211\u662f\u57282011\u5e741\u6708\u4efd\u8bfb\u5230\u8fd9\u672c\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7248\u7684\u3002\u636e\u8bf4\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\uff0c\u8292\u683c\u82b1\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u95f4\u9605\u8bfb\u521d\u7a3f\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u4fee\u6539\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6bcf\u5e74\u5728\u5965\u9a6c\u54c8\u7684\u80a1\u4e1c\u5927\u4f1a\u4e5f\u90fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u552e\u3002\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u88ab\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u548c\u8292\u683c\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u573a\u5408\u63a8\u8350\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u672c\u8292\u683c\u501f\u4ed6\u4eba\u4e4b\u7b14\u8bf4\u51fa\u81ea\u5df1\u601d\u60f3\u7684\u4e66\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\uff0c\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u4f1a\u6559\u6211\u4eec\u4ee5\u591a\u5b66\u79d1\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u539f\u7406\u5b8c\u5584\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u591a\u5143\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u7528\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u4f18\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u4e2d\u5b66\u5230\u5546\u4e1a\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u667a\u6167\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u65b9\u65b9\u9762\u9762\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u5f53\u6709\u4eba\u95ee\u53ca\u8292\u683c\u5bf9\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4f9d\u6211\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u672c\u975e\u5e38\u6770\u51fa\u7684\u4e66\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u60f3\u6539\u5584\u4f60\u7684\u591a\u5143\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u578b<\/a>\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd9\u662f\u6700\u597d\u7684\u4e00\u672c\u4e66\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u667a\u6167\u662f\u4e0e\u751f\u4ff1\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u540e\u5929\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u6309\u7167\u8292\u683c\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u662f\u540e\u8005\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u667a\u6167\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u63a2\u7d22\u201d\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u3002\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e16\u4e0a\u83b7\u5f97\u667a\u6167\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ea\u6709\u4e09\u79cd\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u3001\u6700\u5d07\u9ad8\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u662f\u900f\u8fc7\u81ea\u5df1\u6df1\u601d\u719f\u8651\uff0c\u987f\u609f\u51fa\u6765\u7684\uff1b
B\u3001\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u662f\u900f\u8fc7\u5b66\u4e60\u524d\u4eba\u7684\u667a\u6167\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\uff1b
C\u3001\u6700\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u900f\u8fc7\u4eb2\u8eab\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6765\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8292\u683c\u66fe\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u6211\u5c06\u6b7b\u4e8e\u4f55\u5904\uff0c\u90a3\u6837\u6211\u5c31\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53bb\u90a3\u91cc\u3002\u201d\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e16\u4e0a\u6709\u901a\u5f80\u5fe7\u6101\u548c\u82e6\u607c\u7684\u901a\u9053\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7406\u89e3\u4e86\u4eba\u7c7b\u201c\u5982\u4f55\u201d\u548c\u201c\u4e3a\u4f55\u201d\u5fe7\u6101\u548c\u70e6\u607c\uff0c\u5219\u5c06\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u7ed5\u9053\u800c\u884c\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u60f3\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u4ece\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u5165\u624b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u800c\u300a\u63a2\u7d22\u667a\u6167\u300b\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u4e5f\u5c31\u5728\u4e8e\u8bba\u8ff0\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u7c7b\u601d\u7ef4\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eba\u7c7b\u505a\u51fa\u9519\u8bef\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u6df1\u5c42\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e9b\u53ef\u6539\u5584\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u7406\u89e3\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u56e0\u7d20\u5de6\u53f3\u4e86\u4eba\u7c7b\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u8fd9\u7c7b\u9677\u9631\uff0c\u5e76\u66f4\u80fd\u7406\u89e3\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u6e05\u695a\u5730\u77e5\u9053\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u76ca\u6216\u65e0\u76ca\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u53bb\u5176\u7cdf\u7c95\u800c\u53d6\u5176\u7cbe\u534e\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u591f\u627e\u5230\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8981\u60f3\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u667a\u6167\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u5ba1\u89c6\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u81ea\u6211\u3002\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u4e8b\u7269\u8fd0\u884c\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u6700\u597d\u65b9\u6cd5\u65e0\u7591\u662f\u201c\u62ff\u6765\u4e3b\u4e49\u201d\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u522b\u4eba\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u8292\u683c\u5c31\u66fe\u8fd9\u6837\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u59cb\u7ec8\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ece\u522b\u4eba\u90a3\u91cc\u5b66\u5230\u73b0\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u5750\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u7a7a\u60f3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u806a\u660e\u5230\u90a3\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u201d\u5f88\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u8292\u683c\u5148\u751f\u8ba4\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u667a\u6167\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a\u900f\u8fc7\u6a21\u4eff\u524d\u4eba\u7684\u667a\u6167\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n